Multimorbidity
How heart failure, COPD, cancer and other long-term conditions occur together, in what order, and what that means for patients.
Postdoctoral Research Fellow
I am a health data scientist and epidemiologist at the Exeter Collaboration for Academic Primary Care, University of Exeter. My research follows people with heart failure and COPD: how long one condition goes unrecognised once the other is diagnosed, which long-term conditions accumulate alongside them, and how outcomes differ between patient groups. I work with routinely collected linked health data, connecting primary care records with hospital admissions, death registrations and area deprivation. With clinicians, patients and carers, I am building interpretable machine-learning models that predict falls in people with heart failure, designed so that clinicians can see what drives each prediction.
How heart failure, COPD, cancer and other long-term conditions occur together, in what order, and what that means for patients.
Incidence, timing of diagnosis and outcomes of heart failure and COPD in national linked primary care records.
Prediction models that are calibrated, checked across patient groups, and explained in ways clinicians and patients helped design.
Using routinely collected records for clinical decision support and for digital twins of patient care.
How often COPD is recorded before heart failure, how long the gap is between the two diagnoses, and which factors are associated with a longer interval.
Interpretable machine-learning models that predict falls in people with heart failure, with risk that updates as the record changes. Healthcare professionals, patients and carers shaped how risk and uncertainty are shown. Funded by an EPSRC LEAP fellowship.
Infection episodes in primary care, infection-related hospital admissions and antibiotic prescribing in people with heart failure, COPD or both, compared with a matched cohort from the general population.
Polish Journal of Environmental Studies, 34(5)
Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology, 55:100766
Mausam, 75(2):543-550
8
Published papers
Journal and conference papers
3
First-author papers
As lead author
£55,000
EPSRC LEAP fellowship
Lead applicant, 2024
£14,000
HDR UK South West seedcorn
Co-applicant, 2025